Blanchard Index
Exclusive Precious Metals Market Outlook and Recommendations
Index updated May 11, 2026
Blanchard's Bi-weekly Index
The Blanchard Bi-weekly Index is a roll-up of industry news and economic trends affecting the precious metals market and trading world.
Check back often for insights and commentary from our leading experts and contributors.
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Market Movers
Economic Update
- April non-farm payrolls rose 115,000, more than expected. The jobless rate held steady at 4.3%. The job gains were led by the healthcare sector, which has been a key driver of job growth over the last year. Manufacturing jobs fell slightly.
- Existing home sales inched a mere 0.2% higher in April to a 4.02 million annual rate—far below analyst’s expectations. Mortgage rates climbed to 6.37% because of the Iran war. Real estate agents expect another slow year for U.S. home sales.
Key Takeaway:
The stronger-than-expected jobs report reinforces ideas the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold in the months ahead. The spring home sales market looks like a bust, as would-be buyers are worried about the job market, higher mortgage rates and rising energy costs. The national media price for a home rose to $417,700. The economic outlook remains fragile in the U.S. as skyrocketing gas prices, high interest rates and above-target inflation continue to eat away the purchasing power of American’s everyday spending. Uncertain economic times reinforce the need for portfolio diversification and investors are beefing up their exposure to metals.
In the News
Gold price outlook: Will $6,000 happen this year? – May 11, Yahoo Finance.
Previously, the idea of gold reaching $6,000 seemed like a far-off dream. But due to increased central bank buying and global tensions, JPMorgan predicts that gold will reach $6,300 per ounce in 2026.
How high can gold go by 2030? Experts believe gold’s price could reach anywhere from $7,000 to $10,000 by 2030.
Silver Leaps, Gold Gains as China ‘Buys Bullion as Hard Currency’ – May 11, Bullion Vault.
New data from China showed a surge in households choosing to invest in gold…”The market increasingly views gold not just as a luxury good, but as a hard currency against uncertainty,” says analyst Zhou Yinghao at the Bank of Urumqi in China’s north-western gold-mining region.
Trump Still Wants Fort Knox Review ‘To See If The Gold Is There’ – May 10, Forbes.
“We do an audit every year,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg shortly after the speculation about the gold reserves began. “I can tell the American people on camera right now, that there was a report Sept. 30, 2024—all the gold was there. Any U.S. senator who wants to come and visit it, can arrange a visit through our office.”
Market Snapshot
Gold/Silver ratio: 62 oz. silver = 1 oz. gold:
How to use it: This ratio reveals the number of ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold, and it measures the relative value of these two metals.
- A ratio higher than 80:1 signals that silver is undervalued relative to gold.
- A ratio below 40:1 suggests silver is overvalued.
Market Performance Year-To-Date
- Crude Oil up 73%
- Gold: up 7%
- Silver: up 21%
- S&P 500 up 7%
Short-term Trend
- Gold: Neutral
- Silver: Up
- S&P 500: Up
Long-term Trend
- Gold: Up
- Silver: Up
- S&P 500: Up
Monetary Policy
- Fed funds rate: 3.50-3.75%
- Next Fed meeting: June 16-17












