Blanchard Index

Exclusive Precious Metals Market Outlook and Recommendations

Index updated May 11, 2026


Blanchard's Bi-weekly Index

The Blanchard Bi-weekly Index is a roll-up of industry news and economic trends affecting the precious metals market and trading world.

Check back often for insights and commentary from our leading experts and contributors.

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Market Movers

Precious Metals

Gold climbed since the start of May, surging from $4,352 to above $4,700 an ounce in recent days. Bargain-hunting investors used the dip in gold price to buy because the long-term trend for the precious metal points firmly higher. Silver soared to a 2-month high this week as simmering tensions in the U.S.-Iranian war, boost safe-haven demand for precious metals.

Precious metals continue to benefit from geopolitical and economic uncertainty, while silver gets an extra boost from rising industrial demand. The U.S.-Iran conflict continues to drag on with the Strait of Hormuz largely closed to oil tanker traffic. The prolonged disruption to the global energy supply chain is expected to keep inflation elevated above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target rate for the months ahead.

Key Takeaway:

Following gold’s historic gain of over 60% in 2025, the long-term trend points higher for both gold, with experts pointing to gold in the $7,000-$10,000 range by 2030. The price of silver more than doubled last year and experts expect the white metal to push back above $100 an ounce soon. Today, investors are using the current consolidation phase to trade less of their paper money for more hard assets like gold and silver bullion.

Economic Update

  • April non-farm payrolls rose 115,000, more than expected. The jobless rate held steady at 4.3%. The job gains were led by the healthcare sector, which has been a key driver of job growth over the last year. Manufacturing jobs fell slightly.
  • Existing home sales inched a mere 0.2% higher in April to a 4.02 million annual rate—far below analyst’s expectations. Mortgage rates climbed to 6.37% because of the Iran war. Real estate agents expect another slow year for U.S. home sales.

Key Takeaway:

The stronger-than-expected jobs report reinforces ideas the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold in the months ahead. The spring home sales market looks like a bust, as would-be buyers are worried about the job market, higher mortgage rates and rising energy costs. The national media price for a home rose to $417,700. The economic outlook remains fragile in the U.S. as skyrocketing gas prices, high interest rates and above-target inflation continue to eat away the purchasing power of American’s everyday spending. Uncertain economic times reinforce the need for portfolio diversification and investors are beefing up their exposure to metals.

In the News

Gold price outlook: Will $6,000 happen this year? – May 11, Yahoo Finance.

Previously, the idea of gold reaching $6,000 seemed like a far-off dream. But due to increased central bank buying and global tensions, JPMorgan predicts that gold will reach $6,300 per ounce in 2026.

How high can gold go by 2030? Experts believe gold’s price could reach anywhere from $7,000 to $10,000 by 2030.

Silver Leaps, Gold Gains as China ‘Buys Bullion as Hard Currency’ – May 11, Bullion Vault.

New data from China showed a surge in households choosing to invest in gold…”The market increasingly views gold not just as a luxury good, but as a hard currency against uncertainty,” says analyst Zhou Yinghao at the Bank of Urumqi in China’s north-western gold-mining region.

Trump Still Wants Fort Knox Review ‘To See If The Gold Is There’ – May 10, Forbes.

“We do an audit every year,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg shortly after the speculation about the gold reserves began. “I can tell the American people on camera right now, that there was a report Sept. 30, 2024—all the gold was there. Any U.S. senator who wants to come and visit it, can arrange a visit through our office.”

Market Snapshot

Gold/Silver ratio: 62 oz. silver = 1 oz. gold:

How to use it: This ratio reveals the number of ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold, and it measures the relative value of these two metals.

  • A ratio higher than 80:1 signals that silver is undervalued relative to gold.
  • A ratio below 40:1 suggests silver is overvalued.

Market Performance Year-To-Date

  • Crude Oil up 73%
  • Gold: up 7%
  • Silver: up 21%
  • S&P 500 up 7%

Short-term Trend

  • Gold: Neutral
  • Silver: Up
  • S&P 500: Up

Long-term Trend

  • Gold: Up
  • Silver: Up
  • S&P 500: Up

Monetary Policy

  • Fed funds rate: 3.50-3.75%
  • Next Fed meeting: June 16-17

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