5,000 Years of History Say the Gold/Silver Ratio Still Matters. Here’s the Proof.

kashipley

President and CEO of Blanchard and Company, Inc.

Author: David Beahm | CEO

Published September 16, 2026

You’ve probably heard about the “gold/silver ratio.” What is this exactly? It’s simply how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. Right now, that ratio stands around 67.

Gold and Silver

Gold/Silver ratio: 67 oz. silver = 1 oz. gold:

History shows it’s bounced from under 17 up to 125 over the past 55 years. You may be wondering is this ratio actually useful and what do current levels mean today?

New research from the Silver Institute dug deep into the history and the data, and the short answer is: yes, the gold/silver ratio still matters. Here’s what the research found, and what it means for precious metal investors.

A Relationship That Goes Back to Ancient Egypt

Gold and silver have been tied together as monetary metals for nearly 5,000 years. In fact, the gold/silver ratio has been called the world’s oldest exchange rate. Back in ancient Egypt, gold was relatively common thanks to rich deposits in Nubia, while silver was scarce, so it took only about 2.5 ounces of silver to equal one ounce of gold. Compare that to today’s ratio at 67, and you can see just how much things have shifted over the centuries.

Intriguing History Behind Gold/Silver Ratio Moves

The gold/silver ratio has moved for all sorts of reasons throughout history. The Black Death in Medieval Europe, new mining discoveries, wars, and shifts in government policy have all pushed it up or down. One of the biggest swings came when the Spanish began pulling massive amounts of silver out of Bolivia’s Potosí mine in 1545, which accounted for 60% of global production at the time.

Fast forward to the 20th century and historians tracked even more ups and downs in the gold/silver ratio. During the Great Depression, it spiked from about 38:1 to 100:1 as silver’s industrial demand collapsed. During World War II, the ratio tumbled as increased industrial demand for silver was seen during the war. Then, in 1980, came the Hunt Brothers’ notorious attempt to corner the silver market which briefly pushed the ratio down to a modern all-time low around 17:1, before their scheme collapsed.

In recent years, the gold/silver ratio climbed to historically elevated levels, spending 2018 through 2025 mostly in the 80s and 90s (with a brief COVID-era spike above 100), before retreating from December 2025 into May 2026, to around the high 60s today.

What the Numbers Actually Show

Here’s the interesting part. The research analyzed the numbers going all the way back to 1970 and found that gold and silver prices move together far more often than not. That’s not surprising. When the global investment community turns to safe-haven assets, both precious metals tend to rise, and when global calm returns, both metals tend to consolidate.

The bottom line? The gold/silver ratio keeps rotating back toward a long-run “normal” level of roughly 60 to 1.

When the ratio strays far from that level in one direction, history shows it eventually swings back the other way, sometimes overshooting just as far in the opposite direction.

What This Means for You

For precious metals investors, the gold/silver ratio is a valuable signal, not just historical trivia. Because it tends to snap back toward its long-run average reveals something meaningful about which metal looks cheap or expensive relative to the other.

When the gold/silver ratio is unusually high, historically anywhere north of 80, it has signaled that silver is undervalued relative to gold. Periods like that have frequently preceded silver catching up. When the gold/silver ratio is unusually low, it can mean the opposite: gold offers better value.

Digging Deeper: An Early Warning Signal Worth Watching

As of mid-2026, the ratio sits in the high 60s to low 70s, not far from its long-run historical average of roughly 60. That’s fairly normal territory, not the kind of extreme reading that’s historically flagged a clear opportunity in one metal over the other.

There is one specific level worth keeping an eye on: around 72. That’s roughly 20% above the ratio’s long-run average. That is the key threshold the new research says signals a move into stretched territory. So you may not wait for the gold/silver ratio to get to 80 for an undervalued signal to occur.

Watch for this: If the ratio climbs past 72, that would point to silver being meaningfully undervalued relative to gold, historically the kind of setup that’s preceded silver catching up or even outperforming.

Precious Metals Moving into New Bull Phase

Today’s ratio signal shows that gold and silver are fairly valued. If you’ve been considering adding precious metals to your portfolio, now is an advantageous time to take action. Gold and silver both jumped higher in August and are building momentum for a fresh buying wave. Today’s price points offer long-term investors lasting value in assets that have a track record of 5,000 years of history. Call Blanchard today and a portfolio manager would be happy to discuss personalized recommendations to help you meet your financial goals.

 

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