The Long Journey to the Large Head Indian Princess Gold Dollar Coin
Posted onPeople have used gold as money for thousands of years.
Yet here in America, it was the Act of March 3, 1849 that first established coinage of a U.S. gold dollar. Prior to that, early Americans used silver and gold coins brought from Europe, in addition to those made in Spanish possession in the New World.
The first gold dollar type that was struck here in the U.S. was the Liberty Head, which was issued from 1849 through 1854.
When the Liberty Head first appeared in circulation, the $1 gold coin was tiny – a mere 13 millimeters in diameter. For context that is smaller than our modern-day Roosevelt dime.
A common complaint?
Many Americans griped it was so small that it was easily lost. In 1849, losing a dollar was no small matter. For many it equaled a full day’s pay.
In 1854, the U.S. Mint took action to solve this issue and struck a new gold dollar type called the Small Head Indian Princess gold dollar. The Mint increased the coin’s diameter to 15 millimeters. This is known today among numismatic collectors as Type 2. The Type 2 gold dollar was minted from 1854 through 1856.
Guess what? The Type 2 dollar had problems too.
Chief Engraver James B. Longacre made the coin’s relief too high on the obverse. That meant very few coins were fully struck. Nearly all of the Small Head Indian Princess gold dollars wore down quickly while in circulation.
In this case, it was the third try that was the charm. The U.S. Mint struck a new Type 3 gold dollar known as the Large Head Indian Princess gold dollar from 1856 through 1889.
The Type 3 gold dollar’s size was appropriate and the design had staying power. For more than 30 years, the U.S. Mint struck this fascinating coin, until the denomination was ended in 1889.
While only 1,105 proof gold dollars were struck in 1885, many were utilized as love tokens – a major fad of the time. In the 1880s if a man wanted to propose marriage to a woman, he would take a proof gold dollar like this one and engrave it with the initials from his family name and the girl’s first name. If the woman accepted it and wore it – the love token stood as a symbol to the world of their engagement.
This fully struck gold dollar boasts a warm honey gold tone and has outstanding historical appeal. See it here.
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Estate Planning Part Two: Leaving your Legacy and Liquidation with Rare Coins and Bullion
Posted onThere are four major benefits to including rare coins and bullion in your estate plan: 
- Private transfer with little to no paperwork.
- Diversification with steadily appreciating assets.
- It’s personal – your legacy.
- Simple liquidation process.
Yesterday, we explored the first two benefits in this article on estate planning.
Today, we’ll explore the impact and memories you can leave to your loved ones when numismatics are part of your estate plan and the tangible assets liquidation process. We welcome your questions if you would like to build a legacy through a numismatic portfolio or if you have inherited bullion or rare coins. If you are an attorney working with clients who don’t know how to liquidate a tangible assets estate, we can help guide your clients through their options with a no-obligation, complimentary phone consultation. Let’s get started.
It’s personal – your legacy.
Perhaps one of the best aspects about leaving tangible assets to your loved ones is that it’s personal.
Numismatic collections are unique and one of a kind. A numismatic collection represents not only significant wealth and value – but also represents United States history, your passions and ultimately are a reflection of you and your hand-picked choices over time.
You have the opportunity to customize numismatic collections to match the interest of each of your heirs.
For example, let’s say you have three daughters – you could build a special series of coins for each one of them – customized to their personalities or interests. Perhaps you have one daughter who admires early America, another who likes shipwrecks, and another who adores sculptures. We can help you build a one-of-a-kind series – for each of them! Imagine passing on such a personal, meaningful and valuable legacy to your loved ones. Blanchard can provide histories of each of the coins with an explanation of why you chose to include those coins in a certain collection, if you’d like.
Hand-picking coins for your heirs allows you to leave your signature on your estate in a much more meaningful way than passing down a brokerage account.
Liquidating the estate assets
For 46 years, Blanchard has helped thousands of individuals and families liquidate tangible asset portfolios. Our firm can assist you or your client even if we didn’t help build the coin portfolio.
When it comes to unraveling an estate, liquidating tangible assets is a very simple transaction. It will likely be one of the simplest parts of any estate to liquidate.
We also work with heirs to determine if they want to continue to hold onto the entire collection, or sell a portion or all of it. We provide these consultation services at no charge to heirs. We can provide valuations to assist them as they decide they want to sell or hold onto and continue to build the legacy that you’ve left to them.
If your heirs decide to sell, they simply need to send us the tangible asset and we will wire transfer a check with little to no paperwork involved.
Who is this type of estate planning appropriate for? Everybody who is concerned about the value of their estate and the impact it will have on their heirs.
Tangible assets like rare coins and gold bullion are an asset just like any other assets like stocks or bonds. You can place them into a trust or as part of your estate just like any other asset they own or simply tell your heirs where your collection is stored.
About Blanchard & Company
In 1975, Jim Blanchard founded his family-run investment firm – Blanchard and Company, Inc., in New Orleans, Louisiana. Blanchard and Company has deep roots in the numismatic community and is widely regarded as the most respected tangible asset investment firm in the country. Blanchard has served over 450,000 investors.
Our meticulous coin acquisition is unrivaled, and it reflects the union of our superior business principles and impeccable rare coin selection methods. We proudly offer coins handpicked by John Albanese, who is the top numismatist and coin grader working in the rare coin market today.
Coin Grading – CAC
Albanese is America’s leading professional numismatist, and he is a world-renowned authority on coin grading and the rare coin market. He co-founded Professional Coin Grading Service (PCGS) before launching Numismatic Guaranty Corporation (NGC), where he personally graded more than one million coins. He also founded the now industry standard, CAC (Certified Acceptance Corporation) coin grading and verification firm.
A little history: Dealers themselves graded rare coins prior to the mid-1980s, raising serious conflict of interest issues that often resulted in fraudulent grading. The third-party grading services were established in response to this fraud, developing standards and practices that are now widely accepted. These organizations neither buy nor sell coins, so there are no conflicts of interest.
Today the stringent coin grading standards in place have removed those issues and concerns.
And CAC stickers increase the value of the verified coins as they ensure to both buyer and seller the true value of the rarity.
If you have any questions about using tangible assets in estate planning or want to liquidate a portfolio for yourself or for a client, please reach out to one of our portfolio managers at 1-800-880-4653. Mention you read this article and would like a no-obligation, complimentary consultation with an estate planning expert.
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Gold retreats on Fed news
Posted onDon’t Expect Lower Gold Prices to Last Long
Gold prices tumbled $50 an ounce this afternoon (at the time of writing) after the Federal Reserve announced earlier than expected interest rate hikes.
In March, no Fed officials expected interest rate hikes in 2023.
Today? The new Fed projections point to two interest rate hikes in 2023.
The Fed pointed to hotter inflation and faster economic growth as the reason for the change.
The Fed slashed its benchmark interest rate to zero in March 2020 as the Covid crisis triggered a recession and stock market crash.
Despite recent inflation data which showed consumer prices at their highest level since 2008, the Fed is continuing to hold interest rates at rock bottom zero percent level. Even today’s new estimates don’t project interest rate hikes for at least 18 months.
What is the Fed waiting for?
The Fed, the economy, the stock market – everyone is hooked on easy money policies. Despite evidence of fast economic growth and rising inflation – interest rates are stuck at zero.
Expect today’s pullback in gold prices to be short-lived.
Why? The Fed is ignoring the inflation data.
The Fed is continuing to buy $120 billion in Treasury and agency securities each month. The easy money policies are here to stay, despite hard evidence that inflation is rising.
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones recommended buying gold this week.
“If they [the Fed] treat these numbers — which were material events, they were very material — if they treat them with nonchalance, I think it’s just a green light to bet heavily on every inflation trade,” Jones told CNBC’s Squawk Box.
Here’s what Jones, who called the stock market crash in 1987, advised on Monday:
- “Go all in on the inflation trade.”
- “Buy gold.”
Inflation rose 5% in May. The economy is expanding at a 10.3% growth pace in the second quarter, according to the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow real-time model.
And, the Fed is doing nothing?
While you can’t control the Fed – you can act now to protect your wealth. Have you considered buying more gold? Today’s lower prices won’t last long.
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How to Incorporate Tangible Assets into Your Estate Plan
Posted onAs the saying goes, nothing is certain in life except death and taxes.
While no one likes to think about their own mortality, developing your estate plan is a loving way to care for your family even after you are gone. If you don’t develop your estate plan, state law will decide for you and the results may be very different than you intended.
As you develop your estate plan, there are many benefits to including tangible assets like rare coins or gold bullion as a portion of your legacy for your loved ones.
There are four major benefits to including tangible assets in your estate plan:
- Private transfer with little to no paperwork.
- Diversification with steadily appreciating assets.
- It’s personal – your legacy.
- Simple liquidation process.
In this article, we’ll explore the first two benefits and will conclude our estate planning article series tomorrow with numbers three and four. Let’s get started.
Private transfer with little to no paperwork.
Owning rare coins or gold bullion is a simple and private method of transferring wealth to whomever you choose.
If you have a bank safe deposit box or a home safe, you can simply leave instructions or inform your family where to find and retrieve your coins or bullion.
Simply put, whoever holds it, owns it.
If your heirs choose to liquidate certain numismatic products, typically pre-1933 U.S. coins and 1 ounce American Gold Eagle coins, there are little to no reporting requirements for dealers.
Diversification with steadily appreciating assets.
Just as you seek to diversify your investment portfolio, including tangible assets in your estate plan is an effective and prudent diversification strategy. In previous generations, people would leave cash, CDs or bonds to their children – and at that time these were great assets.
In today’s modern era of Federal Reserve money printing, leaving your heirs cash means you are passing on an asset that is steadily depreciating and losing value. Sadly, the government is devaluing your lifetime of hard work with its current approach of dramatically increasing the U.S. money supply.
Compare U.S. dollars to gold and rare coins – and the latter are a steadily appreciating long-term asset that can never be printed by the government. There is a rarity and tangible asset component of rare coins and bullion that represents real, true and long-lasting value.
In fact, gold is the best performing asset class over the past 20 years, with an 8.8% annualized return, according to analysis by long-time industry analyst Mark Hulbert. Gold bullion returns over the past 20 years beat out the S&P 500, Long-term Treasuries, International Stocks, the NASDAQ 100 and even Intermediate-term Treasuries.
Next up? Leaving your personal legacy. Indeed…perhaps one of the best aspects about leaving tangible assets to your loved ones is that it’s personal. Read Part Two of our Estate Planning series where we will explore building a personal legacy and the simple estate liquidation process. Can’t wait to get started? Call Blanchard at 1-800-880-4653. Mention that you read this article and would like a no-obligation, complimentary consultation with a portfolio manager who can answer your tangible assets estate planning questions.
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The Many Lives of the 1838 $5 Half Eagle
Posted onThe 1838 $5 Half Eagle represents one of many designs to a beautiful coin that had a circulation spanning more than one hundred years, between 1795 and 1929. The piece, consisting almost entirely of gold, was originally enacted in 1792 and was the first gold coin issued by the United States.
In its first iteration, the coin was composed of .9167 gold, and .0833 copper and silver. The original design was the work of United States Mint Chief Engraver Robert Scot. Scot had his start engraving plates for Virginia currency in the late 1700s. By 1781, Scot moved to Philadelphia to continue and expand his engraving work, eventually completing work for the Superintendent of the Office of Finance of the United States. In fact, some of this engraving work was for paper currency that would eventually fund the Siege of Yorktown. This permanently connected Scot to what would be the last major battle of the American Revolutionary War and a decisive win for George Washington. Scot’s connection to the history of the country’s formation became even stronger when, most likely, he became the engraver of the Great Seal shortly after it was designed for the Declaration of Independence.
Once Scot became the Chief Engraver at the United States Mint, he was asked to design coins for the U.S. that included eagle imagery and were “emblematic of liberty.” The prevalence of his work among items that have become historical cannot be understated. In addition to his coin work and his engraving work on the Great Seal, he also engraved rare stamp dies for each state, the seal for the U.S. Navy Department, and seal dies for the U.S. Department of State.
The original design of the Half Eagle coin was known as the “Turban Head,” and has imagery that is far removed from the 1838 design. Here there is a capped portrait of Liberty facing right and a small eagle is depicted on the reverse. By 1807 the design changed again. This iteration is known as the “Draped Bust” design. One of the several changes was the decision to include a “5 D” on one side of the coin to represent its value of $5.
The next version, which includes the 1838 issue, is known as the “Classic Head” and was developed in 1834. By the time this design took shape the coin’s value was greater than the face value of $5. In response, the US Mint changed the composition of the coin, reducing the gold content to .899 and .100 silver and copper. The weight and diameter of the coin were also reduced. The phrase “E PLURIBUS UNUM” was removed. Before the 1838 version was minted the gold content was changed again, this time increasing to .900.
Throughout its history the $5 coin was popular enough to be the only denomination minted at eight of the US Mints. After the “Classic Head” the “Liberty Head” followed. The final iteration was the dramatically redesigned “Indian Head.”
The coin’s imagery is as enduring as all of Scot’s other work and the evolution of the design is representative of the changing national identity.
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Silver Steals Spotlight
Posted onGold isn’t the only precious metal on a tear lately. Silver surged 19% from its March low into its mid-May high at $28.57 an ounce.
What’s behind the big move in silver?
Concerns over inflation, a declining U.S. dollar and rising industrial demand as the global economy rebounds are sending silver prices higher.
In fact, the booming investment demand for physical silver is causing supply disruptions at the U.S. Mint.
Here’s what the U.S. Mint said in a June 2 public statement: “The Mint is being impacted by silver blank shortages among its suppliers. The demand for many of our bullion and numismatic products is at record heights and increasingly outpacing the supply of silver blanks available through our suppliers…As demand remains greater than supply, the reality is such that not everyone will be able to purchase a coin.“
What lies ahead for silver?
Demand for silver comes from both industry, jewelry, silverware as well as investment demand as investors diversify their portfolios with physical silver as a store of value.
While investment demand remains strong now, it could be industrial demand that provides the next leg higher in the silver market.
Silver is a key component in both solar panels and electric vehicles, and will also be used in the nation’s shift to 5G wireless network technology.
The industrial demand for silver is set to soar if President Biden’s renewable energy plan is approved – with analysts expecting the metal to climb the $50 an ounce level. That would top silver’s all-time high at $48.70 in 1980, according to FactSet.
The current pause in the recent silver rally offers investors an excellent buying opportunity.
CPM Group managing partner Jeffrey Christian said recently that he expects a renewed uptrend in silver later this year and then “at some point it will accelerate and probably blow past the record prices of around US$50/oz we saw in 1980 and then in 2011.”
Silver investment demand set a new record higher in 2020 – topping 80 million ounces. Investors continue to turn to the safety of silver in the wake of the massive liquidity pulsing through the financial markets in the wake of unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy.
The rising silver investment demand trend is expected to remain hot this year, with a forecast of 120 million ounces in net purchases.
Are you positioned to take advantage of the next wave of silver gains?
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The Gobrecht Dollar Experiment
Posted onIn the 1830’s, the concept of a silver coin for use in circulation was still something of an experiment. The U.S. had not yet had a silver coin minted for the purposes of everyday use by citizens. The Gobrecht dollar became that experiment and by 1835 mint officials were ready to give it a try.
They wanted to see how such a coin would be received by the public. The coin gets its name from Philadelphia medalist Christian Gobrecht, who was hired as a last-minute replacement to fulfill the responsibilities of the engraver. After much discussion among Mint director Robert Patterson and Philadelphia artists Titian Peale and Thomas Sully, it was agreed that the design would feature a soaring eagle.
This choice was partially driven by the urge to differentiate the coin from so many other minted pieces featuring the heraldic eagle. When conceptualizing the look of the coin, Gobrecht and others turned to Peter, the Mint’s pet eagle, as inspiration. Sadly, not long after, Peter became caught in a coining press and died. He was preserved by a taxidermist and remains on display at the Mint today.
Gobrecht was provided with rough concept sketches and tasked with turning those ideas into final etchings. By October of 1835, his copper engravings were complete. This work would be used to generate a series of prints to be distributed to government officials for approval. Soon after, Gobrecht and others received the authorization to move forward and begin creating the dies. Soon thereafter, Mint officials solicited the opinions of the general public.
The following year, Chief Coiner Adam Eckfeldt began striking the production dies. One of the last changes to the piece came from Patterson, who required that the design include “C. GOBRECHT F” to illustrate that Gobrecht was the artist of the work. The first pieces were struck in December 1836.
The design was praised, but many reviewers didn’t like the decision to include Gobrecht’s name and suggested that it be removed. Soon after, even Gobrecht himself requested that his name be removed from the coin. Instead, Patterson decided that Gobrecht’s name would remain but that the size would be reduced and that the placement would change.
As production began Congress started to change the composition standards for silver coins and required that all silver pieces must consist of 90% silver rather than the 89.2% previously required. As a result, 1,000 Gobrecht coins struck in 1836 were 89.2% silver, and 600 were 90% silver. In the following years other design changes would emerge. The 1838 versions removed the stars from the reverse. Some of the coins struck that same year did not include Gobrecht’s initials.
The total minting of the coins throughout their entire run was only about 1,900 pieces. When production ended the Mint began producing the Seated Liberty dollar which used the same obverse design. Today the coins are highly sought after for their unique place in history during a time of transition, as the U.S. Mint was still exploring ways to introduce art into the economics of currency.
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Inflation Is Back
Posted onInflation sped up in April. The stock market is rattled. Gold is climbing.
Investors are turning to gold as a hedge against the ever-rising inflation risk. Buyers drove gold to its highest level since early February this week. Gold now trades above $1,880 an ounce.
Consumer prices jumped 4.2% last month. That marks the fastest pace since 2008.
The recipe for classic inflation exists: too many dollars chasing too few goods.
People have money to spend and are eager to get back to normal post-pandemic level. We’ve got lots of dollars flowing around in the economy, thanks to the Fed. Indeed, money supply growth has climbed substantially since February 2020. The Federal Reserve has been buying bonds every month on the open market, which pumps new money into the banking system.
We’ve got shortages and panic buying – which is helping drive consumer prices higher.
Used car and truck prices surged a record-high 10% in April. A jump in travel opened the door to sharply higher prices on airfare, hotels and rental cars. Lumber prices rose a whopping 124% in 2021 amid huge demand for building materials. Copper has jumped 36%. There is a semi-conductor shortage.
Yet, the Federal Reserve continues to downplay the recent rise in inflation calling it “transitory.”
The big jump in April consumer price report intensified the inflation debate. Is it merely “transitory” as the Fed suggests?
Or, is this the start of a much bigger spike in inflation that could quickly become runaway inflation as the Fed sits on its hands with its easy money policies and interest rates at zero?
Corporations are worried too. On earnings calls this spring, executives at S&P 500 companies mentioned the word “inflation” four times more than just a year ago.
Everywhere you look, consumer prices are rising. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve may already be behind the curve. The ticking time bomb of inflation has already gone off.
Gold has climbed $200 an ounce since the end of March.
A new bull market is beginning in gold and inflation is just one of the reasons investors are turning to the safety of precious metals. When you diversify with gold and precious metals, you can help protect your wealth from the risks facing the stock market and the U.S. dollar from inflation. Once inflation picks up steam, it can be very hard to put the genie back into the bottle. Are you ready?
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A Coin from the Legendary Simpson Collection
Posted onWhat do Virgil Brand, Louis Eliasberg and Bob Simpson have in common?
They each amassed some of the finest known numismatic collections in American history.
In case you are unfamiliar with him, Bob Simpson is co-chairman of the Texas Rangers baseball team, a philanthropist and a co-founder of XTO Energy, a natural gas firm acquired by ExxonMobile in 2010.
Simpson, now 73 years old, wasn’t wealthy when he began collecting coins as a young boy.
While other kids his age were collecting baseball cards, he would go to the bank, get a roll of coins and look for interesting coins. He was searching for Mercury dimes – the most famous, the 1916-Ds, were still being found in bank rolls back then. He also kept an eye out for copper pennies and Walking Liberty half-dollars.
Recently, Simpson has been selling off portions of his legendary numismatic collection. He views himself as a steward of these remarkable rarities and said recently it is time for someone else to enjoy them.
“I think coins should be appreciated almost as artwork,” Simpson told the Fort Worth Business press last month. “I have gotten more than enough joy from them.”
Simpson’s collection, which is legendary in coin collecting circles, contains remarkable rarities with a particular focus on U.S. patterns. He purchased several large pattern collections over a period of years, spending more than $36 million on a single pattern collection in 2007. Notably, Simpson was the first person to ever assemble a complete P-D-S set of bronze-planchet 1943 Lincoln cents. That includes a 1943-S bronze cent that he paid $1 million for in 2012.
Blanchard recently offered a proof 1910 Gold $2.5 Indian Head, which was part of Bob Simpson’s incredible collection.
The $2.50 Gold Indian Head, or Quarter Eagle was minted at the Philadelphia Mint and only 682 proofs were struck in 1910.
You may already know the Gold Eagle was our country’s first gold coin series. The base denomination of a Gold Eagle represents $10 and other issues are referred to as Double Eagles ($20), Half Eagles ($5), and these Indian Head Gold Quarter Eagle coins with a $2.50 face value.
After the Gold Eagle and Double Eagles were released into circulation in 1907, the U.S. Mint began planning the Quarter Eagle. The Indian Head Quarter Eagle was minted from 1908 through 1929.
The Quarter Eagle broke new ground in the coinage community as the design has no raised edge; instead the legends are presented in sunken relief below the surface of the coin. To this day, these pieces are the only U.S. circulating coins with recessed designs.
Boston sculptor Bela Lyon Pratt designed the visually stunning and unusual coin which features a portrait of a Native American Indian on the obverse, and an American bald eagle standing on a cluster of arrows with an olive branch wrapped around them on the reverse.
Simpson’s views on coin collecting
In an interview this past winter, Simpson was asked if he viewed coin collecting as risky?
“I viewed it as the opposite, as a haven more than a risk asset,” Simpson said.
Simpson admitted that his favorite coin is the “1920-S $10 gold piece, probably the finest $10 Indian piece in the world. It’s in the set I’m going to keep. But, again, the price was painful. I learned a long time ago that the best usually comes at a price that hurts. And so, I would tell anybody, if you see the opportunity that’s unique to you, it’s probably going to hurt to buy it, but you’ll never regret it.”
“You can always get more money, but some of these opportunities, you can’t produce another one. That’s what I would share, that wisdom with potential buyers,” Simpson told the magazine.
[Collector’s question: What is a proof? A proof coin is one that is struck at least twice with specially prepared dies and planchets, and under higher-than-normal pressure to ensure a full, sharp strike. Proof coins are more scarce and tend to be more valuable than other rare coins, drawing special attention from investors and collectors.]
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Is there an “Optimal” Gold Allocation?
Posted on — 1 CommentIt is common for investors to ask, “what is the right amount” when considering how to portion their investible cash across numerous assets. This question is especially common among gold investors because there has been an ongoing debate about what percentage of the total should be held in gold to
generate the strongest possible return. The problem with this question is that it ignores the possibility that there can, in fact, be several “optimal” allocations.
How can this be? The word optimal seems to suggest that there is a best number to strive for. Research from Meb Faber, the co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management, illustrates that this is not the case.
He examined the performance of several different asset allocation strategies. Each of the strategies represents an attempt to achieve optimal returns by allocation of investible funds across the right assets in the right proportions. Here is a sample of the portion of gold or commodities represented in some of the portfolios he examined:
Allocations
| El-Erian Portfolio | 7% Commodities |
| Arnott Portfolio | 10% Commodities |
| Permanent Portfolio | 25% Gold |
| Ivy Portfolio | 20% Commodities |
| Risk Parity Portfolio | 5% Gold |
The exposure to gold varies greatly across the above list. Moreover, the selection and weighting of other assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate also vary considerably and can be seen in his analysis.
His conclusion: “they all performed pretty similarly.” The final performance figures reflect this similarity clearly.
Performance: Capital Asset Growth Rate
| El-Erian Portfolio | 10.39% |
| Arnott Portfolio | 10.13% |
| Permanent Portfolio | 8.88% |
| Ivy Portfolio | 9.92% |
| Risk Parity Portfolio | 9.48% |
These results reveal an often unseen truth: a focus on finding the optimal gold allocation is irrelevant because when nearly any amount of gold is included in a balanced portfolio the investor is overwhelmingly likely to earn a return that is both strong and competitive with various other asset allocation models. In fact, a fixation on determining the perfect amount to allocate to gold may even hurt an investor’s portfolio because it will act as a deterrent from simply starting to invest. Moreover, seeking an answer to the question of “optimal” amounts may also encourage an investor to frequently re-balance which will decrease the long-term performance. The above results are based on portfolios that are treated as buy-and-hold strategies backdated to the 1970s.
Some might warn that while the returns are similar across different allocations, the risk profile differs significantly. This is also untrue as seen from the same data set. The Sharpe ratio is consistent across the portfolios. The Sharpe ratio is an equation that helps investors measure risk-adjusted return. Simply, the formula allows an investor to see what amount of an investment’s return is associated with risk-taking.
The Sharpe ratios in the above portfolios range only from a low of 0.44 (Ivy portfolio), to a high of 0.63 (Risk Parity portfolio). Here again there is little meaningful variation. An investor who selected the El-Erian portfolio, for example, took on the exact same Sharpe ratio as an investor who selected the permanent portfolio. Both clock in at 0.48.
The two pillars of a successful gold investment strategy are (a) to get started, and (b) to hold. Time spent trying to pinpoint a perfect allocation is unnecessary.
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